Equity Brief · Consumer Cyclical2026-10-02
VOLCAR-B.ST·Consumer Cyclical

Next reporting 23 Oct 2026In 13 days

Volvo Car AB (publ.)

I · AI Analysis

The brief

Volvo Cars makes electric vehicles, plug-in hybrids, and traditional cars sold worldwide, primarily SUVs, estates, and saloons [Yahoo Finance]. The company also provides vehicle parts, accessories, maintenance contracts, extended warranties, and in-car software services [Yahoo Finance]. Founded in 1927 and headquartered in Gothenburg, Sweden, it operates as a subsidiary of Chinese parent Geely [Yahoo Finance].

Volvo Car AB designs, manufactures, and sells battery electric, plug-in hybrid, and internal combustion engine vehicles globally under the Volvo Cars brand [Yahoo Finance]. The company has just issued a profit warning, withdrawn its 2026 outlook, and halted hiring globally as sales in China and the US weaken significantly [Financial Times] [Reuters] [Evertiq]. Trailing-twelve-month revenue through 30 June 2026 was SEK 331.1B, while the company reported a negative operating margin of -1.9% and a Health Score of 3.7/10 [Yahoo Finance] [Sentinellis calculation].

The company is burning cash with negative operating margins and negative free cash flow, earning a 'Significant risks' verdict and an Altman Z-score of 1.3 indicating elevated financial distress risk [Sentinellis calculation].

The brief AI analysisConfidence 6/10

Sentinellis health

Significant risks

3.7/10

7.5+ strong · 4.5–7.5 moderate · under 4.5 weak

Profitability

16% of score10.0/10
Net margin+2.8%Gross margin+15.6%

Returns on capital

16% of score0.0/10
ROIC-3.1%· need > 10%Return on equity+6.2%· need > 12%

Growth & momentum

11% of score0.0/10
Revenue growth-16.9%· need ≥ 0%, the lower third of Auto Manufacturers in our libraryOperating margin trend—· no data

Balance sheet

32% of score5.0/10
Current ratio1.0x· need > 1.2xNet debt / EBITDA0.3xInterest coverage-2.9x· need > 6.0xDebt / equity0.31

Cash generation

16% of score3.3/10
Free cash flowSEK -3.0B· need positiveCash vs reported profitSEK 34.4B vs SEK 9.3B

Value creation

11% of score0.0/10
ROIC vs cost of capital-9.4pp· need ROIC above WACC

Sentinellis calculation from the published statements — not a score reported by any data source. Each category is scored on the checks that had data; missing inputs are excluded rather than counted as failures.

Market capitalisation

SEK 44.0B

Revenue (TTM)

SEK 331.1B

Explainers

How we read these numbers

Plain-English guides · no account needed

II · Recent news

What moved

6 stories · ranked by relevance

  • Company2026-10-02

    Volvo Cars issues profit warning as China sales fall - Financial Times

    Financial Times

  • Company2026-10-02

    Volvo Cars pulls sales guidance on Chinese outlook and slow US rebound - Reuters

    Reuters

  • Company2026-09-29

    Stopp för tjänstemannarekryteringar på Volvo Cars - Aftonbladet

    Aftonbladet

  • Company2026-10-02

    Volvo Cars falls as Q3 sales slump 11% on China, U.S. weakness - Investing.com

    Investing.com

  • Company2026-10-02

    Volvo Cars Pulls 2026 Outlook Two Weeks After Pitching 8% Margin Plan - eletric-vehicles.com

    eletric-vehicles.com

  • Company2026-10-02

    Globalt anställningsstopp för Volvo Cars - Evertiq

    Evertiq

Premium · Free with any account

China and US markets are weakening significantly: third-quarter sales fell 11% and management withdrew full-year guidance, signaling uncertainty about near-term demand [Investing.com] [Reuters].

1 of 6 risks in this report

Risks

6

Opportunities

4

Red flags

6

Leadership

10

15 more findings in the full report — free with any account.

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III · Related

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Produced 02 Oct 2026, 08:59 UTC

Figures come from company filings and market data. The Sentinellis health score and the wording attached to it are our interpretation of those figures, not numbers the company reported.

Not investment advice and not a recommendation to buy or sell. Sentinellis holds no positions in the companies it covers, takes no payment from issuers, and has no broker referral arrangements.

How every figure and score is calculated