Equity Brief · Healthcare2026-09-28
MRNA·Healthcare

Last results 31 Jul 2026Next reporting 5 Nov 2026

Moderna, Inc.

I · AI Analysis

The brief

Moderna uses messenger RNA technology to develop vaccines and therapies across respiratory diseases (COVID-19, RSV, seasonal flu), latent viruses (cytomegalovirus, Epstein-Barr virus, HIV), oncology (personalized cancer vaccines and therapeutics), and rare diseases [Yahoo Finance]. The company employs approximately 4,700 people and has strategic partnerships with Merck, Vertex Pharmaceuticals, and others [Yahoo Finance].

Moderna is a biotechnology company headquartered in Cambridge, Massachusetts, that develops messenger RNA medicines, most notably its COVID-19 vaccine [Yahoo Finance]. The company is expanding into cancer treatments, with a melanoma vaccine in late-stage trials showing positive results when combined with an existing cancer drug [Wall Street Journal]. Despite recent stock gains and a $79.4 billion market cap, the company reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of $2.2 billion through 30 June 2026 with deeply negative margins: operating margin of -149.0% and net margin of -141.4% [Yahoo Finance].

Moderna is deeply unprofitable with negative operating and net margins exceeding -140%, despite a $79.4 billion market cap [Yahoo Finance].

The brief AI analysisConfidence 6/10

Sentinellis health

Significant risks

2.4/10

7.5+ strong · 4.5–7.5 moderate · under 4.5 weak

Profitability

18% of score0.0/10
Net margin-141.4%· need ≥ 8.3%, the lower third of biotech & diagnostics in our libraryGross margin-66.0%· need ≥ 57.4%, the lower third of Healthcare in our library

Returns on capital

18% of score0.0/10
ROIC-85.6%· need > 10%Return on equity-46.6%· need > 12%

Growth & momentum

12% of score0.0/10
Revenue growth+2.1%· need ≥ 2.9%, the lower third of Healthcare in our libraryOperating margin trend—· no data

Balance sheet

24% of score7.5/10
Current ratio2.3xNet debt / EBITDA—· no dataInterest coverage-332.0x· need > 6.0xDebt / equity0.19

Cash generation

18% of score3.3/10
Free cash flow$-1.2B· need positiveCash vs reported profit$-1.1B vs $-3.2B

Value creation

12% of score0.0/10
ROIC vs cost of capital-94.3pp· need ROIC above WACC

Sentinellis calculation from the published statements — not a score reported by any data source. Each category is scored on the checks that had data; missing inputs are excluded rather than counted as failures.

Market capitalisation

$79.4B

Revenue (TTM)

$2.2B

Explainers

How we read these numbers

Plain-English guides · no account needed

II · Recent news

What moved

6 stories · ranked by relevance

  • Company2026-09-25

    Moderna CEO’s Realistic Approach to Innovation

    Wall Street Journal

  • Company2026-09-27

    Why Moderna (MRNA) Is Up 29.1% After Melanoma Vaccine Success And Middle East Expansion Talks

    Simply Wall St.

  • Company2026-09-27

    Moderna (MRNA) Held Investment Talks With The UAE Government

    Simply Wall St.

  • Company2026-09-25

    Moderna Stock Jumped 7% Thursday. The Real Test Comes at ESMO on October 24. - Yahoo Finance

    Yahoo Finance

  • Company2026-09-28

    MRNA Stock Eyes Best Year Ever: Analyst Calls China’s AI Drug Lead ‘Baseless’ As Moderna Awaits Cancer Data

    Stocktwits

  • Company2026-09-28

    Moderna Aktie aktuell im Rückgang - Kursentwicklung am 28.09.2026 - Wallstreet Online

    Wallstreet Online

Premium · Free with any account

Four senior insiders sold $49.2 million on the open market over the past 90 days with no offsetting open-market purchases, including CEO Stéphane Bancel selling $28.7 million and President Stephen Hoge selling $15.3 million [SEC Form 4]. While these sales often follow option exercises and may be planned or tax-driven, the concentration and size are notable.

1 of 4 risks in this report

Risks

4

Opportunities

4

Red flags

3

Leadership

10

10 more findings in the full report — free with any account.

Unlock the full Moderna, Inc. analysis

Create a free account to access the complete AI-generated report with inline citations.

  • 4 risks, 4 opportunities and 3 red flags — each with its source
  • 100+ financial metrics with charts and benchmarks
  • Full news summaries with source links
  • Executive team and compensation details
  • PDF export for offline use
Unlock all 11 findings3 free reports · No credit card

III · Related

You might also read

Same sector · Healthcare — or comparable health

Want this for your watchlist?

Read three companies free. No card.

Get 3 free reports

Produced 28 Sept 2026, 13:12 UTC

Figures come from company filings and market data. The Sentinellis health score and the wording attached to it are our interpretation of those figures, not numbers the company reported.

Not investment advice and not a recommendation to buy or sell. Sentinellis holds no positions in the companies it covers, takes no payment from issuers, and has no broker referral arrangements.

How every figure and score is calculated